FA CUP 5TH ROUND DRAW

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ffs.. goes into law of averages story...

Wouldn't you have to take every draw we've ever had into account?

you could not be more wrong.

The chance of a home or away draw in the next round is in NO WAY WHATSOEVER influenced by the outcomes in previous rounds.

Before all four flips, the chances of getting 4 heads in a row was 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 = 1 in 16

After 3 flips have come up heads already, the chance of the FOURTH ONE coming up heads is 50/50

Nah lads.
 
Brennan.. I have been banned from a casino for using D'Alembert before now..


Imagine flipping a coin. If you get heads on one flip, you are equally likely to get heads on the next. There is always a 50/50 chance. The coin could land on heads 10,000 times in a row before you get a tails, or it could alternate with every flip.
 
If you flip a coin three times and get heads each time, is the probability of getting heads a fourth time in succession 50/50 ?

I'm guessing you're not reading maths at Uni are you lad ?
Each toss is independent of the previous toss ... so to speak.Excellent popcorning though
 

If there are 8 balls in the bag. The odds on you coming out first are 7-1. If you don't come out first, the odds on you coming out next are 6-1...then 5-1 etc. The only real 50-50 chance occurs when there are only two balls left. One being yours.

* or something :mellow:
 

Yes, of course it is.

Everytime you flip a coin, its a 50/50 chance.
Actually no. You would think it is but it's statistically proven that it's something like 51-49 to the one side you place faceup before the toss.. not taking into account the freak chance that it will stay on the side.
 

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