I hope you are right. I want Roberto Martinez to be our manager and to be successful. I just can't see where the optimism is coming from. Last season we won 12 league games, we blamed the Europa League for our bad league form. This year we have won 8 games, if we keep our win ratio going we will win 12 games again and no Europa League to blame.
Martinez has a record of winning just under one third of the Premiership games he plays.
Everything seems to suggest about 12 wins this season which will not get us top half.
I don't want to fall out with anyone, in fact I want the supporters of Martinez to be able to quote my posts back to me at the end of the season when we have won 8 of the remaining games and finished 6/7 th. My question of the minute for people who are optimistic about Martinez is "What do you consider to be an unacceptable position come the end of this season". That's probably a thread on it's own.
Personally I never blamed the EL. It was a lazy excuse and I said as much at the time. It boiled down to teams figuring out a way to play against us.
This season, Martinez has changed that, bar a few examples (Watford and WBA at home spring to mind).
Last season our attacking play was slow, now it's a lot better and incisive and players like Barkley and Lukaku have really stepped up.
I'm not wanting to fall out, but I think we've got cause for optimism when we hammered two teams (one of which is supposedly what we should be striving to be) in the last three games 3-0. We hammered WBA but they defended well and the players - in this instance - didn't find the finishing touch.
My answer to your question would be 12th or below - depending on how we do in the cup.
Now, I won't particularly be happy with anything outside of the top 7/8, but I would accept it and, as long as we can keep this squad together - which under RM I think we can, then it'll be onto next season.
But I'm not thinking about that as we, as fans and a team, need to take it game by game and just see where we end up. Whatever happens, I'd like us to re-assess in the summer either way, but I think RM has shown he is learning - though admittedly it may have taken longer than some people would want to.
The players, likewise, are still learning, though back to my original point, if they were so good, they would be able to turn the draws into wins etc. - Martinez can't take all of the blame for that.