Was buzzing to see the effects of the game in APL table.. in the form band table.. then if I read it correctly.. to be within the bandwidth of acceptability, we have in away form still 7 points in the bank...Meaning even if we lose to City and Chelsea, we have one point to go before we enter the safe bandwidth region of away form...
One of the main points of the APLT for me is that it shows how important it is to focus on the games you should be winning. City and Chelsea can wait, they are both par 1 games and we can lose either without serious consequence. Cardiff is a vital par 3. Chuck that and we undo any good from the Spurs match.
Well you can make a better predictive model, as MCofA does, but that's not the point of the APLT. APLT is merely a simple try to take into account the toughness of past and future fixtures without getting your hands dirty into complex and not-so-good modelization techniques.
We're still on -8
Man U still on -13
(Both had par 3's)
Weirdly, we can maintain -8 with draw's against Manchester City and Chelsea, but Man U can only gain 2 points from Hull Away (par 3) and Norwich away (par 1). (Which would still be -8 and -11. Losing both games sees us at -10 and Man U at -11). For me this shows the importance of the APLT.