Would you pay £24m for Lukaku?

[Carlito]

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Absolutely PML at Money in the Bill.

I can imagine him showing up at Stamford Bridge with a ref just as they're about to agree to sell him to Wolfsburg.

 

[zirc]

Dont those odds 'mean' there is likelihood of the transfer (25% v 40%)?

don't mean anything except more people betting on Lukaku signing with us.

 

[Bluesnapper]

don't mean anything except more people betting on Lukaku signing with us.

Well, err, yes as in all betting.

 

[SteKelly]

I'd have Morata at Everton just for his looks tbf

 

[zirc]

Well, err, yes as in all betting.

Yes but you've got it the wrong way round, 25% (1/4) means there's a higher implied chance he joins us than 40% (2/5).

You can't really parse betting odds as a probability that an event is going happen, it's not exactly a credit default swap.

 

[Rupert's Tower]

It's moments like this (if it happens) you remember why you love Everton. Almost shaking here, lids

COYB

 

[tim cahill]

Dont those odds 'mean' there is likelihood of the transfer (25% v 40%)?

It's more like 75% v 60%.

 

[Shipped]

Yes but you've got it the wrong way round, 25% (1/4) means there's a higher implied chance he joins us than 40% (2/5).

You can't really parse betting odds as a probability that an event is going happen, it's not exactly a credit default swap.

1/4 means 80% chance. You win 25p for your quid.
1/4 is if it happens 5 times you expect a result 4 times.

 

[Ihaters]

There's a 90% chance this is turning into a maths thread lol

 

[canuckblue]

There's a 90% chance this is turning into a maths thread lol

And a 100% chance of turning into a "math vs. maths" thread.

 

[Joey66]

Yes lets belive it if and when he signs and is holding his EFC shirt up - with RM and BK smiling!

 

[stevietoffee]

so i guess the lot of us are going to be sat in front of our laptops or constantly checking on our phones for the moment we get confirmation lukaku is an everton player lol

 

[radiostar]

As good as a done deal.

 

[EvertonNJ]

I'd have Morata at Everton just for his looks tbf

He's no Giroud

 

[rascal]

I'd have Lukaku because he's a good player.