I get confused looking at all the different permutations. The only thing that is important really is that Everton win all 3 of their remaining games and then they might have a chance. No game is easy but we don't play any of the bigger teams and all 3 games are winnable. I will be disappointed if we don't after only winning once in the last 6. The fans in particular deserve a strong and happy end to the season.
Basically if we're not at least 8th we won't be in Europe.