I've been curious for a while about what our 'chances of staying up' would look like plotted on a graph encompassing the whole season, so I made one:
(Data from FiveThirtyEight).
So we sacked Lampard at the absolute nadir.
The recovery certainly hasn't been linear, and it's felt that way. Though the trend is clearly broadly positive, mid to late April (Fulham loss to Newcastle loss) certainly looked ropey.
That huge spike after that is the Brighton game. Just goes to show what a colossal result that was.
Some of the oscillation under Dyche is presumably because results are more consequential late in the season, as time is running out, but it's still pretty wild I think - and there's little evidence on this alone of the sustained improvement we'd all have wanted when Lampard was sacked.
Still, as long as we creep over the line, that's ultimately all that matters this season.