“If you fraudulently breach the financial regulations, you will lose your championship. There will be serious consequences for the teams that break these regulations. How will we have control over expenses? We have a very strong team of financial experts within the FIA and F1 and we sought external support. The new rules are essential for the well-being of F1.”
That was Ross Brawn in 2019. I guess the key word there is 'fraudulently'.
The worst penalty I can imagine is them having WCC constructor points removed from last season which makes zero difference to anything.
Apparently RB are disputing as they believe their numbers were in line btw.
Red Bull Racing has expressed its 'surprise and disappointment' at being found to have breached Formula 1's cost cap in 2021 by the FIA.
www.motorsport.com
The thing is maybe some things changed prices (by the book? Who knows how
exactly this works lol ) and all, that maybe also pushed them over the line - very realistic if they had calculated to the penny, so to say. F1 isn't exactly a cheap sport, and parts/systems have a "range" of prices - if the FIA deem that, let's say, hydraulics cost 2m, but RB have paid 1m - that's a 1mil+ difference. That's why they'll dispute I assume. Or maybe I'm talking out of my arse, as this is pure speculation on my part lol
Realistically I believe the FIA might also give a penalty for this year's races... but I doubt it honestly. Likely to be "up for review with the FIA Cost Cap panel" for the foreseeable anyway. Doubt anything comes of it.