I started making a spreadsheet a while back with some data from our strikers signed over the last 10 years, and just some basic statistical analysis makes some grim reading. Numbers in euros.
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We’ve spent a total of €203.7, with a net of €72.5m. That 72.5m has bought us a total of 142 league goals which doesn’t sound too bad until you bring strike rate into it…142 goals in 704 games gives an average of approx 0.2 goals per game for those strikers which is appalling. Considering that typically 2 strikers play a part during each game that means our strikers are contributing 0.4 goals per league game….Given strikers supposedly score around 40% of goals league-wide, proportionally our team could expect to score 38 goals per season from all positions….barely above the average goals scored to secure 17th place or higher which is 36.7. Basically any season that hasn’t been a relegation scrap over the past 10 years can statistically be attributed to performances from elsewhere on the pitch. If it wasn’t already obvious, our striker portfolio has been championship standard.
Seeming as we didn’t actually get relegated during that time, and actually had a couple of ok seasons mixed in, it’s clear that bigger contributions to the success of the team are coming from other areas of the pitch than upfront. It could be argued therefore that ‘bang for buck’ just doesn’t support investment in strikers and that more meaningful value can be had with strengthening other positions. Forgive the perverse comparison, but peak city played without a recognised number 9 for years didn’t they.